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Behavioral indicators of learner retention in digital educational services: evidence from online platforms for state exam preparation

The article addresses learner retention in digital educational services, focusing on online platforms that prepare school students for Russian state examinations. The relevance of the topic is related to the slowdown of the Russian EdTech market and to the growing importance of repeat purchases, subscription renewal and the quality of support provided to already attracted users. The paper is methodological and conceptual: it does not test causal relationships empirically but systematizes behavioral indicators of retention and the managerial limitations of their use. Retention is treated as a dual result: the preservation of regular learner participation in educational activity and the continuation of contractual relations with the payer of the service. The article identifies groups of indicators related to intensity of engagement, rhythm of self-regulated work, response to task difficulty, interaction with feedback and subject progress. It also proposes an example of indicator operationalization that should be adjusted using data from a particular platform, and outlines the economic assessment of service interventions through retention, churn, additional revenue, support costs and return on intervention. The paper argues that behavioral indicators should not be interpreted as automatic diagnostics of motivation, because they describe observable digital behavior rather than the internal causes of learning difficulties. The practical contribution is a service-oriented support framework linking digital signals with acceptable platform actions.

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